Retirement Basics

How Much Do You Actually Need to Retire?

Forget the scary headlines. Your number is built from one thing you can measure today: what you actually spend.

By · Updated June 15, 2026
NET WORTH ↑

Start from spending, not income

Your salary doesn't retire — your expenses do. The first job is to know your real annual spend, including the irregular stuff: insurance, travel, repairs, gifts, taxes.

The quick estimate

Take your annual spending and multiply by 25 (the inverse of the 4% rule). That's a reasonable first target for the investable assets you need.

Annual spend
$48,000
× 25
$1.20M
Today saved
$540k

Then adjust for your reality

  • Pensions & Social Security. Guaranteed income lowers what your portfolio has to cover — subtract it from spending first.
  • Retirement age. Earlier means more years and a bigger multiple (closer to 28–33×).
  • Healthcare. Before Medicare, US early retirees must fund their own coverage — budget for it explicitly.
  • Where you'll live. A lower cost of living abroad can cut the number dramatically.
Two people with the same salary can have wildly different numbers. The one who spends $40k needs ~$1.0M; the one who spends $90k needs ~$2.25M. Spending is the lever you control.

Make it a moving target

Your number isn't fixed — it moves as your spending, markets, and plans change. Track it, re-run it, and watch the gap close.

Key takeaways

  • Your number is driven by spending, not income.
  • 25× annual spending is a solid first estimate.
  • Subtract guaranteed income (pension, Social Security) before multiplying.
  • Retiring early or facing pre-Medicare healthcare pushes the number up.

See your own odds.

Put your real numbers in and run a 1,000-path Monte Carlo simulation — free to start.

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RetireOdds publishes educational content to help you make informed decisions. It is not financial, investment, or tax advice. Figures are illustrative. Consult a qualified professional about your situation.